U.S. equity markets are flirting with record highs as hopes of Fed interest-rate cuts simply refuse to die.

10y Treasuries closed at 3.94%, and 3-month bill rates remain at elevated levels (5.35%). The Treasury yield curve remains deeply inverted (1.41bps) because Treasury Bill supply remains simply enormous — over half a trillion will be auctioned again this month. Excessive indebtedness and steady deficit spending continue to be a burden even though most in the market these days simply ignore it. This is just shocking to me.

U.S. equity markets are flirting with record highs as hopes of Fed interest-rate cuts simply refuse to die. Read More »