labor market imbalances

Fed Watch is on. No rate cut this week — for sure — and traders are not betting on one in March either…

Fed Watch is on. No rate cut this week — for sure — and traders are not betting on one in March either, but Powell will probably keep the door open so that stocks and bonds do not face a drawdown.
• That means the first possibility of a cut will not present itself until May 1st.
• The Employment report comes out Friday, and earnings reports from some of the most important companies will filter in all week.
• Considering where we are with respect to valuations, the slightest negative surprise in any of the data could have outsized effects on markets.

Fed Watch is on. No rate cut this week — for sure — and traders are not betting on one in March either… Read More »

“The Future has many names. For the weak it is unattainable. For the fearful…”

The Perry Capital Portfolio remains unchanged (75% cash.) The discipline to maintain a cash position
throughout the year was not easy but proved fortuitous. Those who correctly expected a hawkish Fed beat the market in 2022. Those who did not, underperformed. It will be more complicated in 2023.

“The Future has many names. For the weak it is unattainable. For the fearful…” Read More »