Geopolitical Tensions
“History’s cunning passages, contrived corridors & issues deceive us with whispering ambitions & guide us by vanities.”
Perry Capital is positioned for slower growth and higher inflation into the Summer. The economy continues to be supported by above-trend consumer spending from asset owners and way-above-trend increases in government spending. The Fed, or the Treasury Department, does not need to stimulate the economy, but it may do so to bolster the present administration’s re-election.
“I didn’t have time to write a short letter report, so I wrote a long one instead.”
Perry Capital is positioned for slower growth and higher inflation into the Summer. The economy continues to be supported by above-trend consumer spending from asset owners and way-above-trend increases in government spending. The Fed, or the Treasury Department, does not need to stimulate the economy, but it may do so to bolster the present administration’s re-election.
“I didn’t have time to write a short letter report, so I wrote a long one instead.” Read More »
“It would be premature to conclude with confidence that we have achieved a sufficiently restrictive stance…”
Key economic reports in the upcoming week are various and reasonably important, but Friday’s employment report is the only one that really matters. The Fed’s game plan was to raise interest rates enough to reduce the imbalance in the labor market. But the tightening is really quite marginal compared to the continued stimulus, and it is that stimulus that has been supportive of higher equity valuations and growth. I think the stock market sees this. What it fails to see — for now — is that the stimulus is supporting higher prices.
Markets need to figure out a normalized level of interest rates appropriate to this volatile new era …
Markets need to figure out a normalized level of interest rates appropriate to this volatile new era of De-globalization, rising military engagement, heightened Geopolitical tensions, excessive indebtedness, and the irrational rise in deficit spending.
“There’s no money. There’s no money. If we don’t make a fiscal adjustment, we’re headed for hyperinflation…”
Markets need to figure out a normalized level of interest rates appropriate to this volatile new era of De-globalization, rising military engagement, heightened Geopolitical tensions, excessive indebtedness, and the irrational rise in deficit spending.